Jim Cramer, ex-hedge fund manager and host of CNBC’s ‘Mad Money’, has been warning his viewers this week that he does not like the market right now.
Specifically stating that “we have a first-class bear market going.”
From 2009 until last year, stocks had been doing quite well. But since the beginning of 2015, investors have been losing out in stocks.
With a downtrend now confirmed in the U.S. stock market, many are seeing this as an opportunity to sell into any rallies and shift their assets elsewhere.
Cramer believes that stocks will need to fall 25% from their highs for the downtrend to end. That’s a staggering drop! As we know, markets tend to overshoot both on the upside and the downside, so should his prediction come true, that drop could be even larger.
Another reason Cramer believes we’re experiencing this overhang is because of the Federal Reserve and its increasing uncertainty in what to do to keep the economy going at its targeted rate for growth.
As we’ve said over and over, the Fed only has two options to keep the stock market from falling:
(1) Lower interest rates (currently at 0.25%), or
(2) Print more money, in the form of Quantitative Easing 4.
So we certainly agree with Jim: The Fed’s indecision on whether they will or will not raise rates has many Americans unsure of what to do with their savings.
Cramer is not alone in saying that stocks have entered a bear market; he joins a growing list of market experts predicting that the negative year for stocks is about to get a lot worse.
Legendary investor Carl Icahn is warning of danger ahead, ignoring proclamations from the mainstream media that “everything is awesome”. That’s because he sees, of course, that everything is not awesome; among many others, we are seeing an increase in global political and economic instability in Syria, Greece, Ukraine and China.
This growing turmoil around the world has already had an impact on emerging markets, which have seen their equity markets collapse. And now those same downward movements are starting to creep into our markets here at home.