Search Results for: recession

IMF downgrades global growth outlook, lowest since financial crisis

Lagarde IMF National Press Club economic growth

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded its forecast for global economic growth for the fourth time this year, reducing the figure to 3.1 percent from the 3.3 percent estimate in July. Modest growth pickup could occur in advanced economies, along with the slowdown in emerging markets, according to IMF. …

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This time had better be different: Australian Housing Prices and the Banks

In last week’s post I showed that there is a debt-financed, government-sponsored bubble in Australian house prices (click here and here for earlier installments on the same topic). This week I’ll consider what the bursting of this bubble could mean for the banks that have financed it. Figure 1 Betting the House For two decades after …

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Election 2012: How the winner will destroy America

obamney obama romney

After all the hollow and uninspired elections that this country has suffered through over the past several decades, one might think that at some point long ago the American public would have finally struck a plateau of disenfranchisement; that we could sink no further into despondency, that there is a …

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Loan Market Predictions for 2017

Loan market predictions 2017 house

The repeated nationalist victories in 2016 elections have shaken investors and left many afraid for 2017. Let’s look at loan market predictions for 2017 based on the information we have and trends we can safely project into the future. Continued Deflationary Pressures Drive Investor Decisions Institutional debt is deflationary. When …

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HSBC to axe 50,000 jobs

HSBC jobs

Just days after JPMorgan revealed it would fire another 5,000 by the end of the year in a “scalpel” headcount reduction, overnight the world’s favorite drug money laundering bank HSBC unleashed the “machete” and announced it would cut almost 50,000 workers, or one in five bankers, a move which would shrink the …

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Greece to tax cash withdrawals

Greece cash bank run ATM

Greece has revealed it will introduce a surcharge for all cashpoint withdrawals and financial transactions in a desperate attempt to prevent citizens withdrawing their money from the country’s beleaguered banks. Ministers hope the controversial move could raise as much as €180 million, which the Athens government hopes will help the country …

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Bankrupt Spain to spend €1bn on riot gear

Spain riots

The Spanish government intends to spend nearly 1 billion euro on police riot gear, despite the country’s debt rising by 58 billion euro over the last year. Authorities worry about widespread protests they believe will grip the nation in the autumn. Students chant during a demonstration on the second day …

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Central banker appointed as Prime Minister of Ukraine

Arseniy Yatsenyuk Ukraine

A reshuffled Ukrainian Parliament installed following a coup last week has voted to appoint Arseniy Yatsenyuk as the new prime minister of the country. Yats, as Victoria Nuland, the Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs at the U.S. State Department, called him, is a natural choice. He is …

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Bank of England director warns: Bond bubble threatens financial system

Andrew Haldane

Bank of England Director: Andrew Haldane A key Bank of England policymaker has warned of the risks to global financial stability when “the biggest bond bubble in history” bursts. In a wide-ranging testimony to MPs, Andy Haldane, Bank of England director of financial stability, admitted the central bank’s new financial policy committee is taking …

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Top trends for 2013

2013 sand

What a year 2012 was! The economic and geopolitical problems plaguing much of the planet at the beginning of last year have, without exception, intensified as we move into 2013. Never in our 33 years of trend forecasting have we experienced a year that rang out on such a downbeat note and …

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Almost 2,400 millionaires pocketed unemployment benefits

Millionaire homes

Almost 2,400 people who received unemployment insurance in 2009 lived in households with annual incomes of $1 million or more, according to the Congressional Research Service. The report was released after about 1.1 million people exhausted their jobless benefits during the second quarter of 2012, when more than 4.6 million filed initial …

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More Americans opting out of banking system

JP Morgan Chase bank

In the aftermath of one of the worst recessions in history, more Americans have limited or no interaction with banks, instead relying on check cashers and payday lenders to manage their finances, according to a new federal report. Not only are these Americans more vulnerable to high fees and interest …

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Spinning bad financial news into good – Paul Craig Roberts

unemployment numbers

Friday’s payroll jobs report says that 96,000 new jobs were created in August and that the unemployment rate (U.3) fell from 8.3% to 8.1%. As 96,000 new jobs are not enough to keep up with population growth, the decline in the U.3 unemployment rate was caused by 368,000 discouraged job …

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Leaked: Troika requires 6-day working week in Greece

A leaked email sent to the Greek Ministries of Finance and Labor from the Troika says Greek private sector workers should work six days a week and longer hours. The letter, which was published on August 31, shows that the Troika expects the Labor Ministry to implement a number of …

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John Williams: the real unemployment rate is 22% – not 8.1%

Jim welcomes back John Williams from Shadow Government Statistics. John believes the real unemployment rate is 22%, not 8.1%, which is why it still feels like a recession. He also calculates the CPI at 6%, not 2.8%, and explains how the government manipulates the rate of inflation. Lastly, John believes the US is still …

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If Greece exits, here is what happens

Now that the Greek exit is back to being topic #1 of discussion, just as it was back in the fall of 2011, and the media has been flooded by groundless speculation posited by journalists who have never used excel in their lives and are merely paid mouthpieces of bigger bank interests …

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CNN is telling people the stock market is fine

CNN stock market bull

From Filip Karinja, for Birch Gold Group Stock markets around the world are teetering upon a major correction, as we saw chaos unfold last week in the equities markets. If you saw chaos and panic on the road while driving your car, you would likely slow down, investigate the situation and perhaps change …

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Fed Vice Chair says bankers should be punished for financial crimes

Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer

Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said bankers who have engaged in wrongdoing should be punished, and he chided the industry for pushing back against financial regulations adopted to prevent another conflagration. “Individuals should be punished for any misconduct they personally engaged in,” Fischer said in a speech to bankers …

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European Central Bank cuts interest rate to below zero

ECB euro symbol

The European Central Bank lowered its deposit rate to -0.10% as the continent battles deflation after many failed monetary policy attempts. The bank said more extraordinary tools can can be used to prevent the derailment of economic recovery. The European Central Bank (ECB) cut its main refinancing rate to 0.15 percent from …

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Rio de Janeiro is out of money ahead of Olympic Games

Rio de Janeiro

The acting governor of Rio de Janeiro state has declared a state of financial disaster so he has more leeway to manage the state’s scarce resources less than two months Brazil hosts the Olympic Games. Francisco Dornelles announced the decision on Friday. It will allow Rio’s state government to change …

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