But this wasn’t the only bold announcement the Fed made. In a report released the same day, titled “Economic Projections“, they predicted that by 2018 they would raise rates to 3.3%.
It seems odd that they would come out with such a view on rates when, just last month, Janet Yellen said she would consider lowering rates into negative territory if the market was to fall considerably, like in 2008.
Projected Federal Reserve interest rate target (SOURCE)
So what does the Fed see changing in the next three years so positively — not only in the United States, but around the world — to be able to raise rates so sharply?
Here are the present day facts:
- The global economy is beginning to contract, with many central banks already printing money like crazy and reducing rates into negative territory.
- Retail sales have been falling short of expectations.
- New housing has dropped off sharply.
- The United States is becoming more polarized than ever — on politics, race, religion, etc.
- The possibility of war in Syria and the Middle East region is ever intensifying, with nations taking turns dropping bombs all over the region.
- Terrorism is increasingly spreading into the western world.
- The threat of conflict with nations such as China, Russia, Syria and Iran is on the rise. Consider how Turkey shot down a Russian jet earlier this month.
- Youth unemployment in Europe is reaching worrying levels.
For some reason, none of these factors seem to be weighing in on the Fed’s projections for the coming years. But ask yourself: How many of these problems do you think will be solved any time soon?
If you think any of this is overly cynical, take a look at this video, from Mr. Positive himself, motivational coach Tony Robbins. In it, he explains the nation’s debt problem and how there is no solution for it. Even if the rich were to be taxed a full 100% on earnings, it would not put a dent in the deficit.
Now, pretend you’re over two years in the future, in 2018. Would you guess that the debt will increase or decrease?
With the debt already so absurdly high, if the Fed moved rates out to 3.3%, the interest on this debt would be practically impossible to pay.
So put yourself two years in the future, and think about what it may hold for our nation.